Sunday’s are, without a doubt, the biggest day of the week for online poker. I’ve been waking up earlier lately (12:45pm EST), as opposed to 4:00pm, enabling me to play the Sunday Warm-up, 2:00pm $109r, and a few others as well.
Well, between 1pm and 4pm my internet connection was very inconsistent. I disconnected 4-5 times an hour for about 60 seconds each time.
First of all, I’m an absolute idiot for not having a backup internet connection. The amount of money that a back-up DSL line costs is completely irrelevant compared to the amount of money I’m playing for online. I paid more rake on Sunday than the cost of most high-speed internet providers charge per year.
At around 4:15pm, I decided to ask some local friends if I could use their internet. My friend Andy Linden was kind enough to let me play in his room, while his family watched the Super Bowl. I arrived to Andy’s and finally had a stable internet connection at around 5:00pm. Unfortunately, I was on my laptop, and therefore my monitor space was greatly reduced. This most certainly had an adverse effect on my play, and ability to join tournaments.
Results-wise, Sunday was no joyride. I continue to run amazingly bad in the 109r. I can confidently say I have never won an all-in preflop race in the 109r, granted I haven’t played it much. Regardless, it’s incredibly frustrating.
I was able to double my stack in each of the PS 10k starting stack tournaments (Warm-up, and Million), but didn’t progress much from there.
With about 80 left in the 9:00pm PS $22r I had a 50k stack at 300/600, and two lost significant AIPF pots in a row, both where I had my opponents at a considerable disadvantage. (QQ < A9 AIPF for 70k, and AK < QT for 70k). Either pot would’ve put me near the chip lead.
Full Tilt Poker crashed late in the evening, right as the $300k Guarantee (their biggest weekly tournament) was getting down to the final 3 tables. At the time, I was still in their $200-16 Sunday Horse event, and had already busted out of the $300k, and $40k – both of which were still in progress. If I’m comprehending the refund policy correct, I will be receiving a refund for each tournament I’d already busted in (and was still in progress), and a refund + the original payout, as according to my chipstack in the tournament I was still in.
For now, we’ll just have to wait for a response from FTP. They’ve had crashes before, and each time they’ve correctly compensated their players.
So, was Sunday a swing and a miss? Nah, not quite. The UB $30r 15k Guarantee ended up being my only final table on Sunday. I placed 3rd for $2,025. After I receive refunds from FTP, the $2k score about breaks me even for Sunday.
Because of the Super Bowl, a fair amount of people were expecting some overlays in the tournaments, but there wasn’t anything too outrageous. The biggest tournaments still easily reached their guarantees, but a few smaller ones had decent overlay. The Bodog 100k has only reached their guaranteed prize pool a few times. It only had 747 entrants, which was about average 3 months ago. Ultimate Bet’s 200k also rarely reaches the guarantee, this week it had a 27% overlay with only 729 entrants. A fairly significant drop from last weeks 977 player field.
Ultimate Bet recently lowered some of their guarantees. Funny enough those were the tournaments with the largest percent of overlay. The $120-9 30k guarantee bounty tournament, and $33r 15k guarantee. The $120-9, is basically just a standard $100-9 freezeout. Each time you eliminate a player, you win $20. Yesterday, it had 129 entrants, meaning UB had to cover the other $17,100 (57%) of the prize pool. Percentage wise, the $33r I took 3rd yesterday also had an enormous overlay. I linked the lobby above, but the math is pretty basic.
76 entrants + 136 rebuys + 73 addons = 285*30 = $8550, which only covered 57% of the prize pool. Had the tournament not guaranteed a $15k prize pool, the money I won for 3rd would’ve been near the standard 1st place payout. Thank you, UB.
UB didn’t lose quite as much as it seems. Super Bowl Sunday wasn’t friendly to them, but they still rake all of the tournaments, and it is possible for a site to profit in a tournament that offers an overlay (although that wasn’t the case in the above examples).
Considering running bad, and the fact I struggled to find a stable internet connection, I’m satisfied I didn’t air-ball Sunday.